← Moonshot Parlays · the parlay machine that tells you the odds

NFL Week 5 player props: the machine's pool

1409 player-prop legs across 13 games from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Hard Rock, BetRivers, Fanatics. Each shows its best listed price and the market's fair chance, the probability left once each book's margin is removed, anchored on Pinnacle. Lines as of October 11, 2026. Lines move, so verify every line and price at your book.

Build a parlay from these legs →

The machine's moonshot for Week 5

One official 4-leg ticket, drawn with a published seed (None). DraftKings pays +234,848 · about 1 in 1,256. How it did →

  1. Malik Nabers — Over 99.5 receiving yards +509
  2. Darnell Washington — Over 59.5 receiving yards +820
  3. Devaughn Vele — Over 69.5 receiving yards +382
  4. Sam LaPorta — Over 99.5 receiving yards +770

Every leg in the Week 5 pool

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay PackersSun Oct 11, 10:00 AM PT

Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami DolphinsSun Oct 11, 10:00 AM PT

Cleveland Browns @ New York JetsSun Oct 11, 10:00 AM PT

Houston Texans @ Tennessee TitansSun Oct 11, 10:00 AM PT

Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh SteelersSun Oct 11, 10:00 AM PT

Las Vegas Raiders @ New England PatriotsSun Oct 11, 10:00 AM PT

Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans SaintsSun Oct 11, 10:00 AM PT

New York Giants @ Washington CommandersSun Oct 11, 10:00 AM PT

Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles ChargersSun Oct 11, 1:05 PM PT

Detroit Lions @ Arizona CardinalsSun Oct 11, 1:25 PM PT

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle SeahawksSun Oct 11, 1:25 PM PT

Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta FalconsSun Oct 11, 5:20 PM PT

Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles RamsMon Oct 12, 5:15 PM PT

How the machine prices a ticket

  1. Translate. American odds become an implied chance for every leg.
  2. Price it fair. Each leg carries its fair chance from the cross-book market; the machine multiplies them for the ticket's true odds. Same-game correlation isn't modeled, and the receipt flags well-known linked pairs.
  3. Show the gap. The book's payout is compared with the fair payout. The difference is the book's hold.

How to find the real odds of any parlay →