NFL Week 4 player props: the machine's pool
276 player-prop legs across 14 games from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Hard Rock, BetRivers, Fanatics. Each shows its best listed price and the market's fair chance, the probability left once each book's margin is removed, anchored on Pinnacle. Lines as of October 5, 2026. Lines move, so verify every line and price at your book.
Build a parlay from these legs →The machine's moonshot for Week 4
One official 10-leg ticket, drawn with a published seed (20260930). DraftKings pays +102,618 · about 1 in 1,910. How it did →
- Jaylen Warren — Under 23.5 receiving yards -113
- Courtland Sutton — Over 37.5 receiving yards -112
- Josh Allen — Over 31.5 rushing yards -110
- Patrick Mahomes — Over 241.5 passing yards -112
- Jaylen Waddle — Over 57.5 receiving yards -110
- KC Concepcion — Yes Anytime TD +320
- Bucky Irving — Over 13.5 receiving yards -109
- Amon-Ra St. Brown — Under 77.5 receiving yards -110
- Roman Wilson — Under 2.5 receptions -158
- Jakobi Meyers — Over 3.5 receptions -151
Every leg in the Week 4 pool
Arizona Cardinals @ New York GiantsSun Oct 4, 10:00 AM PT
- Jameis WinstonNYGUnder 208.5 passing yards-112DraftKings51%fair chance
- Tyler AllgeierARIOver 18.5 rushing yards-120BetMGM54%fair chance
- Jeremiyah LoveARIOver 66.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- Cam SkatteboNYGOver 62.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Kendrick BourneARIOver 19.5 receiving yards-112BetRivers51%fair chance
- Cam SkatteboNYGOver 18.5 receiving yards-110Hard Rock50%fair chance
- Isaiah LikelyNYGOver 41.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Malachi FieldsNYGOver 23.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Jeremiyah LoveARIUnder 3.5 receptions-169DraftKings62%fair chance
- Isaiah LikelyNYGOver 3.5 receptions-160BetMGM59%fair chance
- Michael WilsonARIUnder 5.5 receptions-160BetMGM59%fair chance
- Malik NabersNYGOver 4.5 receptions-130FanDuel56%fair chance
- Marvin HarrisonARIUnder 2.5 receptions-111BetMGM52%fair chance
- Trey McBrideARIYes Anytime TD+160BetMGM39%fair chance
- Malik NabersNYGYes Anytime TD+210Fanatics30%fair chance
- Michael WilsonARIYes Anytime TD+220Fanatics29%fair chance
- Isaiah LikelyNYGYes Anytime TD+280DraftKings22%fair chance
- Jacoby BrissettARIYes Anytime TD+650BetRivers13%fair chance
Dallas Cowboys @ Houston TexansSun Oct 4, 10:00 AM PT
- C.J. StroudHOUOver 244.5 passing yards-113FanDuel53%fair chance
- David MontgomeryHOUOver 44.5 rushing yards-111BetMGM50%fair chance
- Javonte WilliamsDALOver 59.5 rushing yards-109DraftKings50%fair chance
- Nico CollinsHOUOver 72.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Kayshon BoutteHOUOver 23.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- George PickensDALOver 68.5 receiving yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- Ryan FlournoyDALOver 33.5 receiving yards-112DraftKings50%fair chance
- Javonte WilliamsDALOver 13.5 receiving yards-106DraftKings50%fair chance
- Kayshon BoutteHOUUnder 2.5 receptions-183DraftKings64%fair chance
- George PickensDALOver 4.5 receptions-144FanDuel56%fair chance
- CeeDee LambDALOver 5.5 receptions-130FanDuel55%fair chance
- Dalton SchultzHOUUnder 4.5 receptions-117DraftKings54%fair chance
- Ryan FlournoyDALUnder 3.5 receptions-119DraftKings53%fair chance
- Xavier HutchinsonHOUUnder 2.5 receptions-101DraftKings50%fair chance
- Jake FergusonDALOver 3.5 receptions+110BetMGM47%fair chance
- David MontgomeryHOUYes Anytime TD-120Fanatics54%fair chance
- Javonte WilliamsDALYes Anytime TD-125BetMGM53%fair chance
- Nico CollinsHOUYes Anytime TD+150DraftKings36%fair chance
- Jake FergusonDALYes Anytime TD+340BetRivers22%fair chance
- C.J. StroudHOUYes Anytime TD+575Fanatics13%fair chance
Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun Oct 4, 10:00 AM PT
- Kaleb JohnsonGBUnder 31.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel52%fair chance
- Christian WatsonGBOver 67.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings50%fair chance
- Matthew GoldenGBOver 56.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Cade OttonTBOver 24.5 receiving yards-112DraftKings50%fair chance
- Emeka EgbukaTBOver 37.5 receiving yards-112DraftKings50%fair chance
- Ted HurstTBOver 22.5 receiving yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- Cade OttonTBOver 2.5 receptions-155BetMGM60%fair chance
- Tucker KraftGBOver 3.5 receptions-130BetMGM57%fair chance
- Chris GodwinTBOver 2.5 receptions-114FanDuel54%fair chance
- Matthew GoldenGBOver 4.5 receptions-105BetMGM53%fair chance
- Bucky IrvingTBUnder 2.5 receptions+106DraftKings49%fair chance
- Christian WatsonGBYes Anytime TD+185DraftKings36%fair chance
- Bucky IrvingTBYes Anytime TD+185Fanatics33%fair chance
- Tucker KraftGBYes Anytime TD+265Fanatics26%fair chance
- MarShawn LloydGBYes Anytime TD+340DraftKings23%fair chance
- Emeka EgbukaTBYes Anytime TD+310BetRivers21%fair chance
- Chris GodwinTBYes Anytime TD+575Fanatics14%fair chance
- Ted HurstTBYes Anytime TD+525Fanatics14%fair chance
- Cade OttonTBYes Anytime TD+575BetRivers12%fair chance
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati BengalsSun Oct 4, 10:00 AM PT
- Trevor LawrenceJAXOver 260.5 passing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Trevor LawrenceJAXOver 14.5 rushing yards-110DraftKings50%fair chance
- Ja'Marr ChaseCINOver 81.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel53%fair chance
- Parker WashingtonJAXOver 75.5 receiving yards-110Fanatics51%fair chance
- Brenton StrangeJAXOver 36.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings50%fair chance
- Jakobi MeyersJAXOver 40.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Dohnte MeyersCINUnder 2.5 receptions-185BetMGM64%fair chance
- Ja'Marr ChaseCINUnder 7.5 receptions-137DraftKings57%fair chance
- Parker WashingtonJAXUnder 5.5 receptions-131DraftKings55%fair chance
- Jakobi MeyersJAXOver 3.5 receptions-122FanDuel55%fair chance
- Tee HigginsCINOver 4.5 receptions-106FanDuel50%fair chance
- Chase BrownCINOver 3.5 receptions+120BetMGM44%fair chance
- Chase BrownCINYes Anytime TD-125DraftKings59%fair chance
- Ja'Marr ChaseCINYes Anytime TD-105BetMGM51%fair chance
- Parker WashingtonJAXYes Anytime TD+145BetRivers39%fair chance
- Tee HigginsCINYes Anytime TD+135BetMGM38%fair chance
- Brenton StrangeJAXYes Anytime TD+265Fanatics24%fair chance
- Mike GesickiCINYes Anytime TD+310BetMGM22%fair chance
- Trevor LawrenceJAXYes Anytime TD+370Fanatics19%fair chance
- Joe BurrowCINYes Anytime TD+1,000FanDuel6%fair chance
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia EaglesSun Oct 4, 10:00 AM PT
- Matthew StaffordLARUnder 249.5 passing yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- Blake CorumLAROver 39.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel52%fair chance
- Kyren WilliamsLAROver 57.5 rushing yards-113DraftKings52%fair chance
- Makai LemonPHIOver 35.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel52%fair chance
- Darius CooperPHIOver 20.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- Zach ErtzPHIUnder 21.5 receiving yards-110Hard Rock50%fair chance
- Tyler HigbeeLARUnder 29.5 receiving yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- Dontayvion WicksPHIUnder 55.5 receiving yards-110Fanatics50%fair chance
- Kyren WilliamsLAROver 13.5 receiving yards-110Hard Rock50%fair chance
- Darius CooperPHIUnder 2.5 receptions-170DraftKings63%fair chance
- Saquon BarkleyPHIUnder 2.5 receptions-155BetMGM59%fair chance
- Kyren WilliamsLARUnder 2.5 receptions-158FanDuel58%fair chance
- Dontayvion WicksPHIOver 3.5 receptions-148FanDuel58%fair chance
- Makai LemonPHIOver 3.5 receptions-110FanDuel53%fair chance
- Puka NacuaLAROver 6.5 receptions+105BetMGM51%fair chance
- Zach ErtzPHIOver 2.5 receptions+106FanDuel49%fair chance
- Davante AdamsLARUnder 4.5 receptions+117DraftKings45%fair chance
- Puka NacuaLARYes Anytime TD+155Fanatics39%fair chance
- Dontayvion WicksPHIYes Anytime TD+275Fanatics23%fair chance
- Colby ParkinsonLARYes Anytime TD+410BetRivers19%fair chance
New England Patriots @ Buffalo BillsSun Oct 4, 10:00 AM PT
- Josh AllenBUFUnder 242.5 passing yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- Drake MayeNEUnder 231.5 passing yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- Rhamondre StevensonNEOver 32.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- Drake MayeNEOver 26.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Josh AllenBUFOver 31.5 rushing yards-110DraftKings50%fair chance
- James CookBUFOver 85.5 rushing yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- TreVeyon HendersonNEOver 39.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- DJ MooreBUFOver 49.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel52%fair chance
- Khalil ShakirBUFUnder 38.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- Romeo DoubsNEOver 39.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- Mack HollinsNEOver 43.5 receiving yards-115Hard Rock50%fair chance
- Dalton KincaidBUFOver 47.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Kyle WilliamsNEOver 12.5 receiving yards-110Hard Rock50%fair chance
- Hunter HenryNEOver 30.5 receiving yards-109DraftKings50%fair chance
- DJ MooreBUFOver 3.5 receptions-152DraftKings58%fair chance
- Khalil ShakirBUFOver 3.5 receptions-135DraftKings56%fair chance
- Rhamondre StevensonNEUnder 2.5 receptions-111BetMGM51%fair chance
- Hunter HenryNEOver 3.5 receptions+120DraftKings45%fair chance
- Dalton KincaidBUFOver 4.5 receptions+127DraftKings43%fair chance
- Josh AllenBUFYes Anytime TD-120BetRivers55%fair chance
- James CookBUFYes Anytime TD-125BetMGM54%fair chance
- DJ MooreBUFYes Anytime TD+160BetMGM38%fair chance
- Rhamondre StevensonNEYes Anytime TD+160Fanatics35%fair chance
- TreVeyon HendersonNEYes Anytime TD+220DraftKings30%fair chance
- Khalil ShakirBUFYes Anytime TD+270BetMGM28%fair chance
- Mack HollinsNEYes Anytime TD+310Fanatics25%fair chance
- Drake MayeNEYes Anytime TD+500Fanatics15%fair chance
New York Jets @ Chicago BearsSun Oct 4, 10:00 AM PT
- Kyle MonangaiCHIOver 39.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- D'Andre SwiftCHIOver 63.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Isaiah WilliamsNYJOver 22.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel53%fair chance
- Garrett WilsonNYJOver 75.5 receiving yards-110Fanatics50%fair chance
- Kenyon SadiqNYJOver 41.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Colston LovelandCHIOver 34.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings50%fair chance
- Rome OdunzeCHIOver 32.5 receiving yards-112DraftKings50%fair chance
- D'Andre SwiftCHIUnder 2.5 receptions-179DraftKings62%fair chance
- Jeremy RuckertNYJUnder 2.5 receptions-157DraftKings58%fair chance
- Isaiah WilliamsNYJOver 2.5 receptions-125BetMGM53%fair chance
- Rome OdunzeCHIOver 2.5 receptions-115BetMGM52%fair chance
- Luther BurdenCHIOver 4.5 receptions+115BetMGM47%fair chance
- Colston LovelandCHIOver 3.5 receptions+110BetMGM47%fair chance
- D'Andre SwiftCHIYes Anytime TD-105Fanatics49%fair chance
- Braelon AllenNYJYes Anytime TD+135DraftKings43%fair chance
- Garrett WilsonNYJYes Anytime TD+155BetRivers35%fair chance
- Kyle MonangaiCHIYes Anytime TD+200Fanatics34%fair chance
- Colston LovelandCHIYes Anytime TD+270BetMGM27%fair chance
- Kalif RaymondCHIYes Anytime TD+350BetRivers19%fair chance
- Tyson BagentCHIYes Anytime TD+540BetRivers13%fair chance
- Geno SmithNYJYes Anytime TD+1,000DraftKings7%fair chance
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore RavensSun Oct 4, 10:00 AM PT
- Lamar JacksonBALOver 213.5 passing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Tyjae SpearsTENOver 14.5 rushing yards-108DraftKings50%fair chance
- Elic AyomanorTENOver 19.5 receiving yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- Wan'Dale RobinsonTENOver 37.5 receiving yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- Tyjae SpearsTENOver 12.5 receiving yards-110BetRivers50%fair chance
- Tyjae SpearsTENUnder 2.5 receptions-150BetMGM59%fair chance
- Wan'Dale RobinsonTENOver 3.5 receptions-157DraftKings59%fair chance
- Mark AndrewsBALOver 3.5 receptions-155BetMGM58%fair chance
- Zay FlowersBALUnder 5.5 receptions-140BetMGM58%fair chance
- Gunnar HelmTENOver 2.5 receptions-135BetMGM56%fair chance
- Carnell TateTENUnder 4.5 receptions-135Hard Rock55%fair chance
- Derrick HenryBALYes Anytime TD-200Fanatics65%fair chance
- Zay FlowersBALYes Anytime TD+155Fanatics39%fair chance
- Lamar JacksonBALYes Anytime TD+260BetMGM26%fair chance
- Tyjae SpearsTENYes Anytime TD+650DraftKings13%fair chance
- Wan'Dale RobinsonTENYes Anytime TD+500DraftKings13%fair chance
- Cam WardTENYes Anytime TD+650BetMGM10%fair chance
Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota VikingsSun Oct 4, 1:05 PM PT
- Malik WillisMIAUnder 30.5 rushing yards-110DraftKings50%fair chance
- Kyler MurrayMINOver 21.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Jaylen WrightMIAUnder 27.5 rushing yards-110Hard Rock50%fair chance
- Chris BellMIAUnder 34.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Jauan JenningsMINOver 26.5 receiving yards-112BetRivers50%fair chance
- Malik WashingtonMIAOver 38.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Malik WashingtonMIAOver 3.5 receptions-185BetMGM62%fair chance
- Jordan AddisonMINUnder 4.5 receptions-115BetMGM54%fair chance
- Chris BellMIAUnder 2.5 receptions-110BetMGM52%fair chance
- Jauan JenningsMINOver 2.5 receptions+104DraftKings48%fair chance
- Jordan AddisonMINYes Anytime TD+145Fanatics43%fair chance
- T.J. HockensonMINYes Anytime TD+185BetMGM36%fair chance
- Kyler MurrayMINYes Anytime TD+410Fanatics19%fair chance
- Jauan JenningsMINYes Anytime TD+425DraftKings17%fair chance
- Malik WashingtonMIAYes Anytime TD+450BetRivers15%fair chance
- Malik WillisMIAYes Anytime TD+525Fanatics13%fair chance
Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ersSun Oct 4, 1:25 PM PT
- Brock PurdySFOver 233.5 passing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- J.K. DobbinsDENUnder 59.5 rushing yards-111DraftKings51%fair chance
- RJ HarveyDENOver 15.5 rushing yards-110Fanatics50%fair chance
- Christian McCaffreySFOver 64.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Bo NixDENOver 16.5 rushing yards-109DraftKings50%fair chance
- Courtland SuttonDENOver 38.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- George KittleSFUnder 64.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- Deebo SamuelSFOver 34.5 receiving yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- Pat BryantDENOver 22.5 receiving yards-109DraftKings50%fair chance
- Deebo SamuelSFUnder 3.5 receptions-137DraftKings57%fair chance
- Evan EngramDENUnder 2.5 receptions-140BetMGM57%fair chance
- Courtland SuttonDENUnder 3.5 receptions-135BetMGM56%fair chance
- RJ HarveyDENUnder 3.5 receptions-125BetMGM54%fair chance
- Jaylen WaddleDENOver 4.5 receptions+101DraftKings50%fair chance
- Deebo SamuelSFYes Anytime TD+200BetRivers36%fair chance
- George KittleSFYes Anytime TD+200Fanatics35%fair chance
- Mike EvansSFYes Anytime TD+195BetRivers34%fair chance
- Courtland SuttonDENYes Anytime TD+245BetRivers28%fair chance
- Brock PurdySFYes Anytime TD+390BetRivers20%fair chance
- Bo NixDENYes Anytime TD+430Fanatics18%fair chance
- Pat BryantDENYes Anytime TD+410BetRivers18%fair chance
- Evan EngramDENYes Anytime TD+500BetMGM13%fair chance
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas RaidersSun Oct 4, 1:25 PM PT
- Patrick MahomesKCOver 238.5 passing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Mike WashingtonLVOver 16.5 rushing yards-113BetRivers51%fair chance
- Ashton JeantyLVOver 57.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- Kenneth WalkerKCUnder 86.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel51%fair chance
- Rashee RiceKCOver 55.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel52%fair chance
- Travis KelceKCOver 47.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel52%fair chance
- Xavier WorthyKCOver 33.5 receiving yards-112BetRivers50%fair chance
- Tyquan ThorntonKCOver 22.5 receiving yards-110Hard Rock50%fair chance
- Tre TuckerLVOver 37.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings50%fair chance
- Michael MayerLVUnder 23.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings50%fair chance
- Ashton JeantyLVOver 19.5 receiving yards-112DraftKings50%fair chance
- Jalen NailorLVOver 19.5 receiving yards-108DraftKings50%fair chance
- Xavier WorthyKCUnder 3.5 receptions-165BetMGM61%fair chance
- Kenneth WalkerKCOver 2.5 receptions-154FanDuel60%fair chance
- Tre TuckerLVUnder 3.5 receptions-145BetMGM58%fair chance
- Ashton JeantyLVUnder 3.5 receptions-135BetMGM58%fair chance
- Rashee RiceKCUnder 4.5 receptions+120BetMGM46%fair chance
- Kenneth WalkerKCYes Anytime TD-150DraftKings60%fair chance
- Rashee RiceKCYes Anytime TD+155BetMGM38%fair chance
- Brock BowersLVYes Anytime TD+175BetRivers34%fair chance
- Xavier WorthyKCYes Anytime TD+260BetMGM26%fair chance
- Patrick MahomesKCYes Anytime TD+450Fanatics17%fair chance
Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle SeahawksSun Oct 4, 1:25 PM PT
- Emanuel WilsonSEAOver 47.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Keaton MitchellLACOver 18.5 rushing yards-109DraftKings50%fair chance
- AJ BarnerSEAOver 30.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Ladd McConkeyLACOver 47.5 receiving yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- Oronde GadsdenLACOver 27.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Quentin JohnstonLACOver 35.5 receiving yards-111DraftKings50%fair chance
- Rashid ShaheedSEAUnder 2.5 receptions-166FanDuel61%fair chance
- Ladd McConkeyLACOver 3.5 receptions-165BetMGM59%fair chance
- Tre' HarrisLACUnder 3.5 receptions-147DraftKings58%fair chance
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAOver 6.5 receptions-148FanDuel57%fair chance
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAYes Anytime TD-115BetMGM52%fair chance
- Emanuel WilsonSEAYes Anytime TD+150BetRivers41%fair chance
- AJ BarnerSEAYes Anytime TD+290DraftKings24%fair chance
- Quentin JohnstonLACYes Anytime TD+360BetMGM22%fair chance
- Oronde GadsdenLACYes Anytime TD+410Fanatics20%fair chance
- Ladd McConkeyLACYes Anytime TD+320DraftKings19%fair chance
- Sam DarnoldSEAYes Anytime TD+1,000DraftKings5%fair chance
Detroit Lions @ Carolina PanthersSun Oct 4, 5:20 PM PT
- Jared GoffDETUnder 257.5 passing yards-112DraftKings50%fair chance
- Bryce YoungCAROver 12.5 rushing yards-109DraftKings50%fair chance
- Tetairoa McMillanCAROver 70.5 receiving yards-120Fanatics54%fair chance
- Amon-Ra St. BrownDETOver 75.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel52%fair chance
- Jameson WilliamsDETOver 50.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings51%fair chance
- Chuba HubbardCAROver 18.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Sam LaPortaDETUnder 48.5 receiving yards-112DraftKings50%fair chance
- Tommy TrembleCARUnder 12.5 receiving yards-110Hard Rock50%fair chance
- Darren WallerCARUnder 3.5 receptions-147DraftKings59%fair chance
- Tetairoa McMillanCARUnder 5.5 receptions-150BetMGM58%fair chance
- Chuba HubbardCAROver 2.5 receptions-150DraftKings57%fair chance
- Amon-Ra St. BrownDETUnder 7.5 receptions-136DraftKings56%fair chance
- Amon-Ra St. BrownDETYes Anytime TD-115BetMGM52%fair chance
- Jalen CokerCARYes Anytime TD+220BetRivers29%fair chance
- Darren WallerCARYes Anytime TD+270BetMGM26%fair chance
- Bryce YoungCARYes Anytime TD+575BetMGM14%fair chance
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans SaintsMon Oct 5, 5:15 PM PT
- Bijan RobinsonATLOver 87.5 rushing yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Bijan RobinsonATLUnder 37.5 receiving yards-115BetMGM51%fair chance
- Drake LondonATLOver 80.5 receiving yards-110Fanatics50%fair chance
- Bryce LanceNOOver 15.5 receiving yards+100Fanatics50%fair chance
- Kyle PittsATLOver 30.5 receiving yards-109DraftKings50%fair chance
- Juwan JohnsonNOOver 44.5 receiving yards-113FanDuel50%fair chance
- Devaughn VeleNOOver 45.5 receiving yards-110Fanatics50%fair chance
- Devaughn VeleNOOver 3.5 receptions-156DraftKings59%fair chance
- Kyle PittsATLOver 2.5 receptions-151DraftKings59%fair chance
- Juwan JohnsonNOUnder 4.5 receptions-158DraftKings59%fair chance
- Drake LondonATLUnder 6.5 receptions-145DraftKings57%fair chance
- Bijan RobinsonATLYes Anytime TD-210DraftKings63%fair chance
- Chris OlaveNOYes Anytime TD+135Fanatics42%fair chance
- Juwan JohnsonNOYes Anytime TD+235BetRivers26%fair chance
- Kendre MillerNOYes Anytime TD+300BetMGM23%fair chance
- Kyle PittsATLYes Anytime TD+325BetMGM20%fair chance
- Brian RobinsonATLYes Anytime TD+390DraftKings17%fair chance
- Jahan DotsonATLYes Anytime TD+500BetMGM14%fair chance
- Michael PenixATLYes Anytime TD+1,050BetMGM8%fair chance
- Austin HooperATLYes Anytime TD+850DraftKings8%fair chance
- Olamide ZaccheausATLYes Anytime TD+775BetMGM8%fair chance
How the machine prices a ticket
- Translate. American odds become an implied chance for every leg.
- Price it fair. Each leg carries its fair chance from the cross-book market; the machine multiplies them for the ticket's true odds. Same-game correlation isn't modeled, and the receipt flags well-known linked pairs.
- Show the gap. The book's payout is compared with the fair payout. The difference is the book's hold.